Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Internacional beat Athletico-PR with a 22.5% chance and Atletico-MG beat Cruzeiro with a 19.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 18 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Relegation | 49.7% | 36.2% | −13.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 76.3% | 62.8% | −13.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 34.6% | 44.7% | +10.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 85.3% | 77.6% | −7.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 12.7% | 19.3% | +6.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 12.0% | 5.7% | −6.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 39.1% | 44.0% | +4.9 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 65.0% | 69.4% | +4.5 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 35.8% | 39.9% | +4.2 |
| Internacional | Champion | 1.7% | 5.8% | +4.1 |
