Sunderland
Sunderland sits 20th in the table, with 4 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Relegation: 56.4%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 16.0 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 6.3% and 56.4%. Next match: against Leeds United, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 47.6%; a loss, to 61.8%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 56.4% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 54.4% |
| 10/17/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 42.5% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 41.2% |
| 10/11/2026 | <0.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 40.7% |
| 10/10/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 40.4% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 30.4% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.6% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 19.6% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 16.3% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 16.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 15.8% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.8% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 17.4% |
| 09/06/2026 | 2.3% | 15.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% |
| 09/05/2026 | 1.9% | 13.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.7% |
| 09/04/2026 | 3.3% | 18.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% |
| 08/31/2026 | 3.2% | 17.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% |
| 08/30/2026 | 3.4% | 18.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 22.4% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 25.2% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.6% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 26.3% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.9% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 26.7% |
| 08/22/2026 | 0.7% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 29.2% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.4% | 19.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 15.1% |
What the next match is worth
Sunderland's chance of each objective depending on the result against Leeds United
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 56.4% | 47.6% | 56.3% | 61.8% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
