Chelsea
Chelsea sits 4th in the table, with 13 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champion: 5.0%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.8% and 16.9%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (41.6%), Europa League (12.5%), and Conference League (10.1%). Next match: against Tottenham, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 49.8%; a loss, to 34.2%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 5.0% | 41.6% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 0.9% |
| 10/18/2026 | 4.8% | 42.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 0.7% |
| 10/17/2026 | 5.2% | 42.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 0.9% |
| 10/12/2026 | 2.6% | 23.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.9% |
| 10/11/2026 | 2.7% | 24.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| 10/10/2026 | 3.0% | 22.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.8% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 11.4% |
| 09/19/2026 | 1.0% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 12.8% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.8% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 10.4% |
| 09/14/2026 | 2.9% | 22.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| 09/13/2026 | 2.9% | 22.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| 09/12/2026 | 3.6% | 23.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.8% |
| 09/06/2026 | 5.5% | 28.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.4% |
| 09/05/2026 | 16.8% | 52.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| 09/04/2026 | 15.7% | 49.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 1.0% |
| 08/31/2026 | 15.3% | 49.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| 08/30/2026 | 16.9% | 51.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| 08/29/2026 | 8.4% | 34.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| 08/28/2026 | 9.2% | 35.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| 08/24/2026 | 10.4% | 37.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 3.0% |
| 08/23/2026 | 3.1% | 16.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 11.0% |
| 08/22/2026 | 3.5% | 18.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 11.7% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.8% | 20.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 14.1% |
What the next match is worth
Chelsea's chance of each objective depending on the result against Tottenham
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 41.6% | 49.8% | 41.3% | 34.2% |
| Champion | 5.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
