Trend — Champion
Champion probability over time
Manchester City leads the race for Champion, at 50.9%. 5 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Manchester City (+11.4 pp). Biggest faller: Everton (−3.9 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 50.9% | 39.6% | +11.4 | 55.2% |
| Arsenal | 20.4% | 19.2% | +1.3 | 39.1% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 17.2% | 16.2% | +1.0 | 18.3% |
| Chelsea | 5.0% | 3.0% | +2.0 | 16.9% |
| Liverpool | 2.6% | 5.5% | −2.9 | 6.7% |
| Everton | 0.6% | 4.5% | −3.9 | 11.5% |
| Brentford | 0.6% | 3.0% | −2.4 | 11.4% |
| Aston Villa | 0.5% | 0.2% | +0.3 | 4.6% |
| Leeds United | 0.5% | 1.2% | −0.7 | 10.4% |
| Ipswich Town | 0.4% | 2.1% | −1.7 | 10.3% |
| Hull City | 0.2% | 1.4% | −1.2 | 17.5% |
| Manchester United | 0.2% | 0.3% | −0.1 | 5.1% |
| Crystal Palace | 0.2% | 0.3% | −0.1 | 4.8% |
| Coventry City | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0 | 0.8% |
| Newcastle | 0.1% | 2.9% | −2.8 | 6.3% |
| Tottenham | 0.1% | <0.1% | +0.1 | 4.6% |
| Bournemouth | 0.1% | <0.1% | +0.1 | 4.7% |
| Fulham | 0.1% | <0.1% | +0.1 | 4.9% |
| Nottingham | <0.1% | 0.4% | −0.4 | 4.8% |
| Sunderland | <0.1% | <0.1% | 0.0 | 4.4% |
Champion: the last team in should finish with about 74 points (68 to 81 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Manchester City, 1st, with 21.
Current ranking
1
Manchester City50.9%2
Arsenal20.4%3
Brighton & Hove Albion17.2%4
Chelsea5.0%5
Liverpool2.6%6
Everton0.6%7
Brentford0.6%8
Aston Villa0.5%9
Leeds United0.5%10
Ipswich Town0.4%11
Hull City0.2%12
Manchester United0.2%13
Crystal Palace0.2%14
Coventry City0.2%15
Newcastle0.1%16
Tottenham0.1%17
Bournemouth0.1%18
Fulham0.1%19
Nottingham<0.1%20
Sunderland<0.1%
Manchester City50.9%2Arsenal20.4%3Brighton & Hove Albion17.2%4Chelsea5.0%5Liverpool2.6%6Everton0.6%7Brentford0.6%8Aston Villa0.5%9Leeds United0.5%10Ipswich Town0.4%11Hull City0.2%12Manchester United0.2%13Crystal Palace0.2%14Coventry City0.2%15Newcastle0.1%16Tottenham0.1%17Bournemouth0.1%18Fulham0.1%19Nottingham<0.1%20Sunderland<0.1%Trend
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