Aston Villa
Aston Villa sits 12th in the table, with 8 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 12.3%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 7.9 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 1.0% and 19.9%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (6.6%), Conference League (7.4%), and Relegation (7.1%). Next match: against Manchester City, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 16.2%; a loss, to 8.1%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 0.5% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.6% | 11.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.8% | 11.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 18.0% |
| 10/11/2026 | 0.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 18.2% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 17.7% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 18.3% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 19.5% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 45.0% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 44.5% |
| 09/13/2026 | <0.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 46.8% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 48.1% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 34.1% |
| 09/05/2026 | 0.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 35.5% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 39.8% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 40.2% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 24.7% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 24.2% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 27.2% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 27.9% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 29.9% |
| 08/22/2026 | 3.7% | 17.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 11.8% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.6% | 19.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 14.1% |
What the next match is worth
Aston Villa's chance of each objective depending on the result against Manchester City
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 12.3% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 8.1% |
| Relegation | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.6% |
| Conference League | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% |
| Europa League | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
