Trend — Conference League
Conference League probability over time
Chelsea leads the race for Conference League, at 10.1%. 19 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Aston Villa (+4.1 pp). Biggest faller: Newcastle (−4.4 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 10.1% | 8.1% | +2.0 | 10.1% |
| Liverpool | 9.9% | 8.8% | +1.0 | 10.4% |
| Brentford | 7.6% | 8.2% | −0.6 | 8.7% |
| Aston Villa | 7.4% | 3.2% | +4.1 | 7.6% |
| Leeds United | 6.6% | 6.9% | −0.2 | 8.4% |
| Everton | 6.5% | 8.2% | −1.7 | 8.4% |
| Ipswich Town | 5.9% | 7.8% | −1.9 | 8.2% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 5.6% | 6.7% | −1.2 | 8.2% |
| Arsenal | 4.9% | 6.8% | −1.9 | 7.8% |
| Hull City | 4.6% | 6.8% | −2.2 | 8.3% |
| Tottenham | 4.4% | 1.1% | +3.3 | 5.2% |
| Crystal Palace | 4.2% | 3.1% | +1.2 | 7.1% |
| Manchester United | 4.0% | 3.6% | +0.4 | 6.9% |
| Coventry City | 3.9% | 2.9% | +1.0 | 6.5% |
| Bournemouth | 3.7% | 0.8% | +2.8 | 5.3% |
| Fulham | 3.5% | 0.6% | +2.9 | 5.6% |
| Newcastle | 3.4% | 7.8% | −4.4 | 7.9% |
| Manchester City | 2.0% | 4.2% | −2.2 | 7.3% |
| Nottingham | 1.2% | 3.5% | −2.2 | 7.0% |
| Sunderland | 0.8% | 1.1% | −0.3 | 6.2% |
Conference League: the last team in should finish with about 57 points (55 to 60 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Brentford, 6th, with 10.
Current ranking
1
Chelsea10.1%2
Liverpool9.9%3
Brentford7.6%4
Aston Villa7.4%5
Leeds United6.6%6
Everton6.5%7
Ipswich Town5.9%8
Brighton & Hove Albion5.6%9
Arsenal4.9%10
Hull City4.6%11
Tottenham4.4%12
Crystal Palace4.2%13
Manchester United4.0%14
Coventry City3.9%15
Bournemouth3.7%16
Fulham3.5%17
Newcastle3.4%18
Manchester City2.0%19
Nottingham1.2%20
Sunderland0.8%
Chelsea10.1%2Liverpool9.9%3Brentford7.6%4Aston Villa7.4%5Leeds United6.6%6Everton6.5%7Ipswich Town5.9%8Brighton & Hove Albion5.6%9Arsenal4.9%10Hull City4.6%11Tottenham4.4%12Crystal Palace4.2%13Manchester United4.0%14Coventry City3.9%15Bournemouth3.7%16Fulham3.5%17Newcastle3.4%18Manchester City2.0%19Nottingham1.2%20Sunderland0.8%Trend
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