Newcastle
Newcastle sits 11th in the table, with 8 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 3.8%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has fallen by 16.2 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 3.4% and 28.9%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (2.8%), Conference League (3.4%), and Relegation (20.7%). Next match: against Crystal Palace, away, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 14.6%; a loss, to 24.9%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 0.1% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 20.7% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 19.9% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 20.4% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.6% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 9.5% |
| 10/11/2026 | 2.5% | 21.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| 10/10/2026 | 2.9% | 20.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.3% |
| 09/20/2026 | 3.5% | 23.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| 09/19/2026 | 4.0% | 23.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.6% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 10.9% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.9% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 11.8% |
| 09/13/2026 | 3.4% | 23.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% |
| 09/12/2026 | 3.4% | 24.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% |
| 09/06/2026 | 3.9% | 23.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| 09/05/2026 | 3.7% | 21.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% |
| 09/04/2026 | 5.8% | 28.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| 08/31/2026 | 6.0% | 28.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 3.0% |
| 08/30/2026 | 6.3% | 28.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | 5.8% | 27.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.6% |
| 08/28/2026 | 1.9% | 11.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 12.5% |
| 08/24/2026 | 2.1% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 14.5% |
| 08/23/2026 | 1.8% | 12.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 14.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 3.3% | 17.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 11.8% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.2% | 18.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 14.7% |
What the next match is worth
Newcastle's chance of each objective depending on the result against Crystal Palace
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 20.7% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 24.9% |
| Champions League | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% |
| Conference League | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Europa League | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
