Everton
Everton sits 8th in the table, with 10 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 10.8%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has fallen by 17.7 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 9.5% and 37.7%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (6.1%), Conference League (6.5%), and Relegation (8.1%). Next match: against Arsenal, away, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 15.0%; a loss, to 7.0%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 0.6% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% |
| 10/12/2026 | 2.6% | 24.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| 10/11/2026 | 2.4% | 23.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 2.7% |
| 10/10/2026 | 4.5% | 28.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| 09/20/2026 | 5.0% | 30.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% |
| 09/19/2026 | 6.1% | 31.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| 09/18/2026 | 1.8% | 14.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% |
| 09/14/2026 | 2.0% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% |
| 09/13/2026 | 1.8% | 15.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.5% | 17.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% |
| 09/06/2026 | 3.4% | 21.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| 09/05/2026 | 4.8% | 25.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% |
| 09/04/2026 | 4.5% | 23.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| 08/31/2026 | 4.8% | 23.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| 08/30/2026 | 5.2% | 24.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | 4.5% | 23.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| 08/28/2026 | 8.9% | 34.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| 08/24/2026 | 10.0% | 36.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.0% |
| 08/23/2026 | 10.5% | 36.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 11.5% | 37.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| 08/21/2026 | 5.2% | 19.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 14.7% |
What the next match is worth
Everton's chance of each objective depending on the result against Arsenal
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 10.8% | 15.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% |
| Relegation | 8.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.3% |
| Conference League | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% |
| Europa League | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
