Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace sits 14th in the table, with 7 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 4.6%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 1.7% and 19.9%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (3.1%), Conference League (4.2%), and Relegation (19.1%). Next match: against Newcastle, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 13.7%; a loss, to 24.1%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 0.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 19.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 17.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.7% | 11.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% |
| 10/12/2026 | 1.0% | 13.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% |
| 10/11/2026 | 1.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 20.7% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 23.3% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.3% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 26.0% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 21.1% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 21.8% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 22.4% |
| 09/12/2026 | 0.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 22.3% |
| 09/06/2026 | 1.6% | 12.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 11.4% |
| 09/05/2026 | 1.3% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 11.9% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 39.7% |
| 08/31/2026 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 39.5% |
| 08/30/2026 | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 40.8% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 41.5% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 44.6% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 27.2% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 27.6% |
| 08/22/2026 | 0.7% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 30.3% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.8% | 19.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 14.1% |
What the next match is worth
Crystal Palace's chance of each objective depending on the result against Newcastle
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 19.1% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 24.1% |
| Champions League | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Europa League | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Conference League | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
