Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad sits 5th in the table, with 16 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champion: 3.6%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 0.1% and 4.6%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (44.8%), Europa League (15.6%), and Conference League (11.3%). Next match: against Levante, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 51.2%; a loss, to 34.6%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
Click zones to show or hide. Drag the bottom bar to zoom.
Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 3.6% | 44.8% | 15.6% | 11.3% | 0.3% |
| 10/19/2026 | 3.5% | 44.6% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 0.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 3.3% | 43.7% | 15.9% | 11.1% | 0.3% |
| 10/17/2026 | 1.8% | 31.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 1.0% |
| 10/16/2026 | 2.3% | 29.6% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 1.2% |
| 10/12/2026 | 2.5% | 30.1% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 1.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | 2.2% | 27.8% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 0.9% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.9% | 18.4% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 3.3% |
| 10/09/2026 | 1.5% | 18.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| 09/20/2026 | 1.5% | 18.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 3.7% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 12.2% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 12.3% |
| 09/17/2026 | 0.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.9% |
| 09/16/2026 | 0.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 10.6% |
| 09/15/2026 | 0.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 12.2% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 10.9% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 11.3% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.4% | 16.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| 09/11/2026 | 1.9% | 15.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| 09/07/2026 | 2.4% | 16.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% |
| 09/06/2026 | 0.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 13.1% |
| 09/05/2026 | 1.0% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 14.8% |
| 09/04/2026 | 0.9% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 14.0% |
| 09/03/2026 | 1.0% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 14.3% |
| 08/31/2026 | 1.3% | 10.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 10.6% |
| 08/30/2026 | 1.4% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 13.0% |
| 08/29/2026 | 1.6% | 11.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 13.3% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 37.3% |
| 08/27/2026 | 0.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 37.9% |
| 08/26/2026 | 0.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 41.2% |
| 08/25/2026 | 0.9% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 24.1% |
| 08/24/2026 | 1.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 25.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 1.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 26.4% |
| 08/22/2026 | 1.1% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 26.5% |
| 08/21/2026 | 0.9% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 28.7% |
| 08/20/2026 | 4.5% | 19.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 13.2% |
| 08/19/2026 | 3.8% | 19.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 12.3% |
| 08/17/2026 | 4.4% | 19.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 12.6% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.2% | 19.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 13.2% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.6% | 19.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 14.8% |
What the next match is worth
Real Sociedad's chance of each objective depending on the result against Levante
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 44.8% | 51.2% | 41.5% | 34.6% |
| Champion | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Conference League | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.9% |
| Europa League | 15.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.0% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
