Deportivo Alavés
Deportivo Alavés sits 7th in the table, with 11 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 2.4%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 2.2% and 58.8%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (2.6%), Conference League (3.6%), and Relegation (17.5%). Next match: against Málaga, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 11.7%; a loss, to 22.7%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | <0.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 17.5% |
| 10/19/2026 | <0.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 16.8% |
| 10/18/2026 | <0.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 17.7% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% |
| 10/16/2026 | 0.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 11.0% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 10.9% |
| 10/11/2026 | 0.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 11.4% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 12.2% |
| 10/09/2026 | 0.8% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.7% | 12.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.6% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% |
| 09/18/2026 | 1.0% | 12.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| 09/17/2026 | 1.1% | 12.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% |
| 09/16/2026 | 1.1% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| 09/15/2026 | 1.3% | 13.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| 09/14/2026 | 4.6% | 29.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 1.7% |
| 09/13/2026 | 5.3% | 31.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 1.7% |
| 09/12/2026 | 6.0% | 31.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| 09/11/2026 | 16.8% | 56.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| 09/07/2026 | 17.5% | 57.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| 09/06/2026 | 17.9% | 58.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 0.3% |
| 09/05/2026 | 11.2% | 41.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| 09/04/2026 | 11.0% | 42.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 1.1% |
| 09/03/2026 | 9.7% | 41.4% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 1.4% |
| 08/31/2026 | 9.3% | 41.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 1.3% |
| 08/30/2026 | 11.6% | 43.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 1.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | 12.9% | 45.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 1.5% |
| 08/28/2026 | 11.6% | 43.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 1.4% |
| 08/27/2026 | 5.6% | 28.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.1% |
| 08/26/2026 | 6.1% | 30.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| 08/25/2026 | 7.2% | 30.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| 08/24/2026 | 7.8% | 31.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| 08/23/2026 | 7.3% | 30.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 7.2% | 30.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% |
| 08/21/2026 | 7.5% | 30.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| 08/20/2026 | 8.3% | 30.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% |
| 08/19/2026 | 13.3% | 41.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| 08/17/2026 | 13.8% | 42.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| 08/16/2026 | 13.7% | 42.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| 08/15/2026 | 13.4% | 40.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
What the next match is worth
Deportivo Alavés's chance of each objective depending on the result against Málaga
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 17.5% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 22.7% |
| Conference League | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% |
| Europa League | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Champions League | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
