Barcelona
Barcelona sits 1st in the table, with 27 points from 9 matches. The main open race is Champion: 58.8%. Over the last 5 updates, that chance has risen by 4.2 percentage points. Over the season it has ranged between 4.3% and 63.2%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (96.0%) and Europa League (2.0%). Next match: against Real Madrid, at home, in round 10. A win takes the chance of Champion to 67.3%; a loss, to 48.8%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/21/2026 | 58.8% | 96.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | <0.1% |
| 10/19/2026 | 59.5% | 96.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 58.5% | 95.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | <0.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 63.2% | 96.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | <0.1% |
| 10/16/2026 | 53.9% | 93.4% | 3.5% | 1.3% | <0.1% |
| 10/12/2026 | 54.6% | 93.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | <0.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | 54.5% | 93.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% | <0.1% |
| 10/10/2026 | 56.9% | 94.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | <0.1% |
| 10/09/2026 | 55.7% | 91.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | <0.1% |
| 09/20/2026 | 56.7% | 91.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/19/2026 | 52.0% | 92.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/18/2026 | 42.4% | 86.2% | 5.4% | 3.0% | <0.1% |
| 09/17/2026 | 41.5% | 85.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | <0.1% |
| 09/16/2026 | 44.3% | 86.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | <0.1% |
| 09/15/2026 | 39.8% | 81.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | <0.1% |
| 09/14/2026 | 41.4% | 81.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 0.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 42.9% | 81.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | <0.1% |
| 09/12/2026 | 34.7% | 74.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| 09/11/2026 | 34.3% | 73.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| 09/07/2026 | 35.9% | 75.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| 09/06/2026 | 35.8% | 75.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| 09/05/2026 | 27.5% | 65.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 0.3% |
| 09/04/2026 | 27.2% | 64.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 0.4% |
| 09/03/2026 | 24.8% | 64.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| 08/31/2026 | 25.2% | 64.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 0.3% |
| 08/30/2026 | 17.7% | 53.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 0.8% |
| 08/29/2026 | 19.8% | 56.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 0.9% |
| 08/28/2026 | 18.3% | 54.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 0.7% |
| 08/27/2026 | 18.9% | 56.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| 08/26/2026 | 11.9% | 43.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.3% |
| 08/25/2026 | 12.6% | 43.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 2.4% |
| 08/24/2026 | 13.8% | 44.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 2.4% |
| 08/23/2026 | 13.5% | 43.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
| 08/22/2026 | 4.3% | 20.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 10.6% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.3% | 19.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 12.0% |
| 08/20/2026 | 4.3% | 19.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 11.8% |
| 08/19/2026 | 4.3% | 19.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 12.2% |
| 08/17/2026 | 4.6% | 20.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 12.1% |
| 08/16/2026 | 4.6% | 19.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 12.3% |
| 08/15/2026 | 4.5% | 19.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 13.8% |
What the next match is worth
Barcelona's chance of each objective depending on the result against Real Madrid
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champion | 58.8% | 67.3% | 59.0% | 48.8% |
| Champions League | 96.0% | 97.8% | 96.2% | 93.5% |
| Europa League | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
