Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Londrina with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 4 (before the first match) against those on November 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Champion | 33.9% | 69.1% | +35.2 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 57.2% | 26.7% | −30.5 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 24.9% | 46.3% | +21.5 |
| CSA | Promotion | 25.5% | 44.1% | +18.6 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 23.8% | 41.3% | +17.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 22.5% | 5.7% | −16.8 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 19.0% | 3.1% | −15.8 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 82.0% | 72.9% | −9.1 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 9.4% | 2.0% | −7.4 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 28.8% | 22.2% | −6.6 |
