Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Avaí with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 22 (before the first match) against those on August 29 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 66.8% | 37.1% | −29.7 |
| CSA | Promotion | 29.1% | 5.4% | −23.7 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 43.1% | 23.7% | −19.5 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 34.5% | 17.1% | −17.4 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 19.9% | 37.0% | +17.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 16.0% | 32.4% | +16.4 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 40.1% | 56.5% | +16.4 |
| Goiás | Promotion | 54.7% | 70.6% | +15.9 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 85.0% | 69.3% | −15.7 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 33.4% | 18.0% | −15.4 |
