Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Náutico beat CSA with a 12.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 19 (before the first match) against those on August 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 55.0% | 20.0% | −35.0 |
| CRB | Promotion | 49.9% | 69.8% | +19.9 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 67.8% | 48.8% | −19.0 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 8.1% | 26.6% | +18.5 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 28.8% | 44.2% | +15.4 |
| Botafogo | Promotion | 25.6% | 40.0% | +14.5 |
| Londrina | Relegation | 26.5% | 40.8% | +14.3 |
| Avaí | Champion | 15.0% | 1.8% | −13.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 72.8% | 85.4% | +12.6 |
| Brusque | Relegation | 12.4% | 23.9% | +11.5 |
