Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 7 (before the first match) against those on October 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Promotion | 63.3% | 10.1% | −53.2 |
| CSA | Relegation | 48.5% | 4.2% | −44.3 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 12.6% | 53.7% | +41.2 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Promotion | 5.2% | 45.2% | +40.0 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 39.7% | 70.9% | +31.3 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 31.1% | 1.7% | −29.4 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 3.6% | 31.8% | +28.3 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 26.9% | 0.9% | −26.0 |
| Paraná | Champion | 23.5% | 1.0% | −22.5 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 31.5% | 51.0% | +19.5 |
