Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat América-MG with a 20.5% chance and CSA beat Cruzeiro with a 19.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 29.8% | 60.8% | +31.0 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 47.8% | 22.5% | −25.4 |
| CSA | Relegation | 62.3% | 39.2% | −23.1 |
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 43.9% | 21.5% | −22.3 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 38.3% | 58.5% | +20.2 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 49.8% | 31.0% | −18.8 |
| Confiança | Relegation | 37.0% | 18.2% | −18.7 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 29.4% | 47.1% | +17.7 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 43.7% | 61.3% | +17.6 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 21.6% | 39.0% | +17.4 |
