Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Guarani beat Operário-PR with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 3 (before the first match) against those on September 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sampaio Corrêa | Relegation | 57.8% | 26.9% | −30.9 |
| Guarani | Relegation | 53.3% | 26.5% | −26.8 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 54.6% | 31.5% | −23.1 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 62.2% | 39.7% | −22.5 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 31.4% | 50.5% | +19.1 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 24.3% | 41.9% | +17.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 13.6% | 31.1% | +17.5 |
| Paraná | Promotion | 46.6% | 63.3% | +16.7 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 18.3% | 34.3% | +16.0 |
| Oeste | Relegation | 60.3% | 76.2% | +15.8 |
