Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Avaí beat Brasil de Pelotas with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 4 (before the first match) against those on January 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 49.0% | 80.4% | +31.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 42.6% | 18.9% | −23.7 |
| América-MG | Champion | 59.8% | 82.9% | +23.1 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 40.0% | 17.0% | −23.0 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 62.2% | 42.4% | −19.8 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 30.5% | 44.3% | +13.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 74.6% | 87.9% | +13.3 |
| CSA | Promotion | 64.8% | 56.4% | −8.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 1.4% | 7.0% | +5.6 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 12.3% | 7.8% | −4.5 |
