Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat CSA with a 21.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 10 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 87.9% | 64.2% | −23.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 51.5% | 72.2% | +20.6 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 17.0% | 36.4% | +19.4 |
| América-MG | Champion | 82.9% | 63.6% | −19.4 |
| CSA | Promotion | 56.4% | 44.6% | −11.8 |
| Operário-PR | Promotion | 0.7% | 9.0% | +8.4 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 80.4% | 87.5% | +7.1 |
| Botafogo-SP | Relegation | 95.3% | 89.7% | −5.5 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 44.3% | 49.0% | +4.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 18.9% | 22.5% | +3.6 |
