Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Confiança beat Náutico with a 18.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 28 (before the first match) against those on January 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Promotion | 35.3% | 62.2% | +26.9 |
| América-MG | Champion | 36.9% | 59.8% | +23.0 |
| Chapecoense | Champion | 62.9% | 40.0% | −22.9 |
| CSA | Promotion | 42.4% | 64.8% | +22.4 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 30.2% | 12.3% | −17.8 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 25.7% | 42.6% | +16.9 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 32.2% | 47.9% | +15.7 |
| CRB | Relegation | 17.7% | 2.7% | −15.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 15.5% | 5.7% | −9.8 |
| Cuiabá | Promotion | 58.3% | 49.0% | −9.3 |
