Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Santos with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 18 (before the first match) against those on January 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bahia | Relegation | 50.1% | 21.6% | −28.5 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 49.7% | 71.4% | +21.7 |
| Internacional | Champion | 33.5% | 55.1% | +21.6 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 34.2% | 13.0% | −21.2 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 32.3% | 11.1% | −21.2 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 70.9% | 90.8% | +19.9 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 78.3% | 59.5% | −18.8 |
| Sport | Relegation | 26.5% | 45.1% | +18.6 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 28.0% | 10.6% | −17.4 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 16.3% | 33.5% | +17.2 |
