Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Bahia with a 24.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 22 (before the first match) against those on January 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 57.9% | 28.5% | −29.3 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 21.6% | 48.5% | +26.9 |
| Internacional | Champion | 55.1% | 80.3% | +25.2 |
| Sport | Relegation | 45.1% | 20.3% | −24.8 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 26.7% | 6.2% | −20.5 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 59.5% | 79.3% | +19.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 8.6% | 28.1% | +19.5 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 13.0% | 31.7% | +18.7 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 33.5% | 15.3% | −18.2 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores Second Round | 31.8% | 15.4% | −16.4 |
