Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Vasco with a 17.1% chance and Bahia beat Corinthians with a 19.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 14 (before the first match) against those on January 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Champion | 25.3% | 75.0% | +49.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 52.3% | 97.3% | +45.0 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 67.7% | 24.3% | −43.5 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 68.4% | 27.8% | −40.6 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 42.2% | 6.8% | −35.4 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 50.7% | 85.6% | +34.9 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 62.2% | 27.5% | −34.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 53.1% | 85.4% | +32.4 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 45.4% | 13.8% | −31.6 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores Second Round | 33.8% | 2.7% | −31.1 |
