Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santos beat São Paulo with a 22.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on January 8 (before the first match) against those on January 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 44.7% | 67.7% | +23.0 |
| Vasco | Sudamericana | 25.1% | 45.4% | +20.3 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 30.2% | 11.5% | −18.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 55.3% | 73.3% | +18.0 |
| Flamengo | Libertadores | 69.6% | 52.3% | −17.3 |
| Sport | Sudamericana | 43.4% | 26.2% | −17.2 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 58.9% | 42.2% | −16.7 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 53.7% | 70.3% | +16.7 |
| Internacional | Champion | 10.0% | 25.3% | +15.4 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 77.5% | 62.9% | −14.6 |
