Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fluminense beat Flamengo with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on December 27 (before the first match) against those on January 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional | Champion | 3.2% | 77.8% | +74.6 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 72.1% | 7.5% | −64.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Sudamericana | 39.1% | 88.5% | +49.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 64.1% | 26.0% | −38.1 |
| Fortaleza | Sudamericana | 37.7% | 6.7% | −31.1 |
| Internacional | Libertadores | 72.3% | >99.9% | +27.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 53.7% | 77.4% | +23.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 66.4% | 43.0% | −23.4 |
| Internacional | Libertadores Second Round | 22.0% | <0.1% | −22.0 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores Second Round | 26.0% | 46.1% | +20.0 |
