Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat São Paulo with a 18.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 14 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goiás | Relegation | 51.7% | 33.9% | −17.7 |
| Coritiba | Relegation | 69.5% | 56.8% | −12.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 32.4% | 19.9% | −12.5 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 38.8% | 50.4% | +11.6 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 45.5% | 56.2% | +10.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 28.9% | 19.4% | −9.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 76.1% | 85.2% | +9.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 45.2% | 53.5% | +8.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 68.4% | 60.1% | −8.3 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 29.5% | 36.9% | +7.4 |
