Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Atletico-MG with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 44.6% | 28.9% | −15.7 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 30.3% | 45.2% | +14.9 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 25.8% | 38.8% | +13.0 |
| Joinville | Relegation | 75.3% | 63.6% | −11.7 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 79.5% | 68.4% | −11.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 34.6% | 45.5% | +10.8 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 19.5% | 29.5% | +10.1 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 22.4% | 32.4% | +10.0 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 66.5% | 76.1% | +9.6 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 43.6% | 51.7% | +8.0 |
