Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Joinville beat Figueirense with a 17.1% chance and Flamengo beat Internacional with a 20.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 5 (before the first match) against those on July 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joinville | Relegation | 81.0% | 67.1% | −13.9 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 30.7% | 19.8% | −11.0 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 32.5% | 21.7% | −10.8 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 44.9% | 34.8% | −10.1 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 40.0% | 49.8% | +9.8 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 22.8% | 32.6% | +9.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 10.1% | 18.6% | +8.4 |
| Vasco | Relegation | 74.5% | 82.8% | +8.2 |
| Santos | Relegation | 24.9% | 32.8% | +7.8 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 21.6% | 14.1% | −7.6 |
