Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 4 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Flamengo with a 23.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 3 (before the first match) against those on July 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 31.9% | 44.9% | +12.9 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 46.2% | 58.9% | +12.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 19.9% | 10.1% | −9.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Champion | 18.0% | 27.0% | +9.0 |
| Santos | Relegation | 16.7% | 24.9% | +8.2 |
| Chapecoense | Relegation | 22.2% | 14.7% | −7.5 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 29.0% | 21.6% | −7.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 24.2% | 30.7% | +6.5 |
| Grêmio | Champion | 10.6% | 16.9% | +6.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 28.7% | 22.8% | −5.9 |
