Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Criciúma with a 16.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on April 18 (before the first match) against those on April 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 54.0% | 36.7% | −17.2 |
| Fluminense | Relegation | 29.8% | 15.8% | −14.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 23.8% | 35.3% | +11.6 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 29.9% | 19.2% | −10.7 |
| Figueirense | Relegation | 71.8% | 82.5% | +10.7 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 15.0% | 25.7% | +10.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 41.5% | 51.6% | +10.1 |
| Cruzeiro | Champion | 15.7% | 23.9% | +8.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 37.0% | 28.8% | −8.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 14.2% | 22.3% | +8.0 |
