Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 1 draw and 7 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio beat Internacional with a 20.0% chance, Corinthians beat Botafogo with a 22.7% chance, and Flamengo beat Vasco with a 18.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 17 (before the first match) against those on October 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Champion | 10.2% | 99.0% | +88.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 1.8% | 85.3% | +83.4 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 17.3% | 92.7% | +75.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 71.0% | 2.5% | −68.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 33.7% | 97.8% | +64.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 12.6% | 76.3% | +63.7 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 12.4% | 75.5% | +63.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 24.4% | 84.5% | +60.2 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 55.6% | <0.1% | −55.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 47.7% | >99.9% | +52.3 |
