Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 4 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Corinthians with a 16.1% chance and Botafogo beat Fluminense with a 24.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 24 (before the first match) against those on August 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Libertadores | 58.8% | 3.4% | −55.5 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 33.9% | 87.3% | +53.5 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 22.8% | 70.9% | +48.1 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 14.0% | 60.3% | +46.3 |
| Sport | Relegation | 52.6% | 12.1% | −40.5 |
| Corinthians | Libertadores | 48.2% | 8.0% | −40.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 57.2% | 96.6% | +39.4 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 32.7% | 69.8% | +37.1 |
| Palmeiras | Relegation | 36.0% | 1.0% | −35.0 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 6.1% | 39.4% | +33.3 |
