Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Grêmio with a 20.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on June 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 30.6% | 16.5% | −14.1 |
| Atletico-MG | Libertadores | 16.1% | 28.4% | +12.3 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 22.4% | 10.6% | −11.8 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 44.5% | 33.4% | −11.1 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 22.6% | 33.7% | +11.1 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 36.5% | 25.6% | −10.9 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 37.2% | 47.7% | +10.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 22.8% | 12.6% | −10.2 |
| Santos | Relegation | 21.2% | 11.0% | −10.1 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 14.5% | 24.4% | +9.9 |
