Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Goiás beat Athletico-PR with a 20.9% chance, Juventude beat Cruzeiro with a 20.6% chance, and Atletico-MG beat São Paulo with a 14.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 4 (before the first match) against those on June 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 51.3% | 37.3% | −14.0 |
| Athletico-PR | Libertadores | 30.8% | 17.4% | −13.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 36.3% | 23.5% | −12.8 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 34.6% | 21.8% | −12.8 |
| Sport | Relegation | 35.5% | 48.1% | +12.6 |
| Goiás | Relegation | 26.0% | 13.7% | −12.2 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 11.3% | 22.8% | +11.6 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 46.8% | 58.4% | +11.6 |
| Figueirense | Libertadores | 24.1% | 35.7% | +11.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 33.4% | 23.2% | −10.2 |
