Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Cruzeiro beat Palmeiras with a 20.4% chance and São Paulo beat Paraná with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 27 (before the first match) against those on June 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 54.3% | 36.3% | −18.0 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 36.3% | 53.2% | +17.0 |
| Cruzeiro | Relegation | 36.3% | 21.2% | −15.2 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 45.8% | 33.4% | −12.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 53.0% | 64.8% | +11.7 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 38.8% | 50.5% | +11.7 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 72.1% | 60.5% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 31.5% | 20.0% | −11.5 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 17.6% | 28.8% | +11.2 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 41.3% | 51.3% | +10.0 |
