Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Corinthians beat São Paulo with a 16.9% chance and Fluminense beat Flamengo with a 23.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 52.8% | 71.1% | +18.3 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 57.2% | 39.4% | −17.8 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 25.8% | 41.9% | +16.0 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 76.0% | 89.0% | +13.0 |
| Santos | Sudamericana | 23.8% | 11.0% | −12.8 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 60.2% | 73.0% | +12.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 47.9% | 60.3% | +12.5 |
| Palmeiras | Sudamericana | 38.9% | 26.9% | −12.0 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 17.0% | 5.8% | −11.1 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 76.1% | 65.1% | −11.0 |
