Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Vasco with a 18.3% chance and Santos beat Cruzeiro with a 22.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 6 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Champion | 16.3% | 99.0% | +82.7 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 7.3% | 76.0% | +68.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 27.7% | 95.0% | +67.3 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 80.4% | 17.0% | −63.5 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 74.6% | 18.6% | −56.0 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 17.4% | 70.7% | +53.3 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 53.2% | 1.3% | −51.9 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 7.4% | 57.2% | +49.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 3.4% | 52.8% | +49.4 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 29.0% | 76.1% | +47.1 |
