Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Flamengo beat Paraná with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 7 (before the first match) against those on October 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | Sudamericana | 27.7% | 44.1% | +16.5 |
| Atletico-MG | Relegation | 25.4% | 10.0% | −15.4 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 71.1% | 85.6% | +14.5 |
| Flamengo | Sudamericana | 58.9% | 72.4% | +13.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 65.1% | 77.8% | +12.7 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 34.4% | 22.1% | −12.3 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 31.8% | 21.7% | −10.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 41.9% | 32.4% | −9.5 |
| Fluminense | Sudamericana | 56.5% | 65.1% | +8.6 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 18.3% | 11.5% | −6.9 |
