Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 1 draw and 5 away wins. 3 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Sport beat Corinthians with a 22.5% chance, Goiás beat Botafogo with a 21.3% chance, and Figueirense beat Cruzeiro with a 19.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 23 (before the first match) against those on September 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Relegation | 36.5% | 58.8% | +22.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 63.6% | 81.0% | +17.4 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 41.7% | 24.8% | −16.9 |
| Grêmio | Sudamericana | 35.6% | 18.8% | −16.8 |
| Internacional | Sudamericana | 64.3% | 48.8% | −15.5 |
| Goiás | Sudamericana | 34.7% | 50.1% | +15.5 |
| Figueirense | Sudamericana | 38.2% | 53.7% | +15.4 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 51.2% | 36.4% | −14.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 41.1% | 54.7% | +13.7 |
| Corinthians | Sudamericana | 21.8% | 9.1% | −12.7 |
