Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Paulo beat Botafogo with a 24.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 5 (before the first match) against those on August 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo | Champion | 36.5% | 18.2% | −18.3 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 36.4% | 52.5% | +16.1 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 59.9% | 45.2% | −14.7 |
| Athletico-PR | Relegation | 30.5% | 19.4% | −11.1 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 86.9% | 76.7% | −10.2 |
| Athletico-PR | Sudamericana | 29.3% | 38.8% | +9.6 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 57.0% | 66.4% | +9.4 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 12.3% | 21.8% | +9.4 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 43.7% | 52.6% | +8.9 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 23.0% | 31.4% | +8.5 |
