Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Fluminense with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 2 (before the first match) against those on August 5 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Náutico | Relegation | 74.6% | 59.9% | −14.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 54.4% | 67.5% | +13.0 |
| São Paulo | Champion | 23.8% | 36.4% | +12.6 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 41.3% | 29.6% | −11.6 |
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 15.0% | 25.5% | +10.5 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 33.2% | 43.7% | +10.5 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 79.7% | 89.8% | +10.1 |
| Fluminense | Libertadores | 25.0% | 15.0% | −10.1 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 32.3% | 23.0% | −9.4 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 19.0% | 9.9% | −9.1 |
