Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Palmeiras beat Atletico-MG with a 22.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 9 (before the first match) against those on August 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | Libertadores | 19.7% | 31.4% | +11.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 50.7% | 61.8% | +11.1 |
| Flamengo | Relegation | 52.6% | 42.9% | −9.7 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 31.4% | 22.4% | −9.0 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 69.5% | 78.1% | +8.6 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 29.2% | 20.6% | −8.6 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 45.2% | 53.5% | +8.3 |
| Grêmio | Libertadores | 36.2% | 28.0% | −8.2 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 43.9% | 35.9% | −7.9 |
| Cruzeiro | Sudamericana | 42.2% | 34.4% | −7.8 |
