Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 3 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Paraná with a 20.7% chance and Flamengo beat Fluminense with a 23.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 7 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Champion | 11.2% | 63.8% | +52.6 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 33.1% | 79.8% | +46.7 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 19.3% | 62.9% | +43.6 |
| São Paulo | Libertadores | 57.9% | 97.0% | +39.1 |
| Vasco | Libertadores | 26.4% | 65.1% | +38.7 |
| Botafogo | Champion | 44.0% | 8.7% | −35.2 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 40.1% | 6.3% | −33.8 |
| São Paulo | Sudamericana | 34.8% | 3.0% | −31.8 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 81.4% | 55.3% | −26.2 |
| Juventude | Sudamericana | 30.0% | 4.6% | −25.4 |
