Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat Paraná with a 11.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 4 (before the first match) against those on October 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Paulo | Champion | 16.3% | 99.0% | +82.8 |
| Santos | Libertadores | 6.7% | 76.0% | +69.3 |
| Cruzeiro | Libertadores | 25.8% | 95.0% | +69.2 |
| Botafogo | Libertadores | 79.8% | 17.0% | −62.9 |
| Náutico | Relegation | 72.7% | 18.6% | −54.1 |
| Botafogo | Sudamericana | 18.1% | 70.7% | +52.5 |
| Paraná | Libertadores | 52.2% | 0.1% | −52.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 1.5% | 52.8% | +51.3 |
| Goiás | Libertadores | 51.6% | 1.3% | −50.2 |
| Corinthians | Relegation | 7.2% | 57.2% | +50.0 |
