Arsenal
Arsenal sits 2nd in the table, with 18 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champion: 20.4%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 9.2% and 39.1%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (76.9%), Europa League (7.7%), and Conference League (4.9%). Next match: against Everton, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 82.3%; a loss, to 70.1%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 20.4% | 76.9% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 0.1% |
| 10/18/2026 | 21.1% | 77.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 0.1% |
| 10/17/2026 | 16.5% | 67.9% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 0.2% |
| 10/12/2026 | 17.7% | 65.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 0.1% |
| 10/11/2026 | 17.7% | 65.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 0.2% |
| 10/10/2026 | 19.2% | 63.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 0.2% |
| 09/20/2026 | 12.7% | 50.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 0.7% |
| 09/19/2026 | 13.5% | 52.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 0.9% |
| 09/18/2026 | 32.8% | 75.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| 09/14/2026 | 33.5% | 76.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| 09/13/2026 | 34.4% | 77.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.1% |
| 09/12/2026 | 39.1% | 78.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| 09/06/2026 | 27.3% | 66.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 0.3% |
| 09/05/2026 | 17.0% | 52.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 0.8% |
| 09/04/2026 | 15.7% | 49.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| 08/31/2026 | 17.0% | 51.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 0.8% |
| 08/30/2026 | 9.5% | 36.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| 08/29/2026 | 9.2% | 36.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| 08/28/2026 | 9.9% | 36.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| 08/24/2026 | 10.6% | 36.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 10.6% | 37.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
| 08/22/2026 | 12.0% | 39.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.8% |
| 08/21/2026 | 14.3% | 41.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
What the next match is worth
Arsenal's chance of each objective depending on the result against Everton
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 76.9% | 82.3% | 74.7% | 70.1% |
| Champion | 20.4% | 25.1% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| Europa League | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% |
| Conference League | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
