Round 4

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 1 home win, 4 draws and 5 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on September 6 (before the first match) against those on September 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
Leeds UnitedChampions League20.0%39.4%+19.4
Brighton & Hove AlbionChampions League14.5%30.8%+16.3
NottinghamRelegation22.0%6.2%−15.8
NewcastleChampions League23.4%8.7%−14.7
Ipswich TownRelegation19.9%5.3%−14.7
Ipswich TownChampions League6.0%18.6%+12.6
NottinghamChampions League5.3%16.7%+11.4
Hull CityChampions League40.1%29.4%−10.7
Aston VillaRelegation34.1%44.5%+10.4
Crystal PalaceRelegation11.4%21.8%+10.4
Home 37.2%
Draw 27.7%
Away 35.2%
Home 35.6%
Draw 27.9%
Away 36.5%
Home 37.2%
Draw 27.7%
Away 35.2%
Home 41.9%
Draw 26.3%
Away 31.7%
Home 48.6%
Draw 24.5%
Away 26.9%
Home 34.4%
Draw 27.4%
Away 38.3%
Home 33.7%
Draw 27.1%
Away 39.2%
Home 33.5%
Draw 27.0%
Away 39.4%
Home 33.7%
Draw 27.1%
Away 39.2%
Home 38.2%
Draw 27.4%
Away 34.4%