Liverpool
Liverpool sits 5th in the table, with 12 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champion: 2.6%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 1.2% and 6.7%. Other objectives with a real chance: Champions League (30.9%), Europa League (11.5%), Conference League (9.9%), and Relegation (1.8%). Next match: against Brighton & Hove Albion, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Champions League to 39.7%; a loss, to 23.0%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 2.6% | 30.9% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 1.8% |
| 10/18/2026 | 2.9% | 29.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 1.3% |
| 10/17/2026 | 3.3% | 32.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 1.6% |
| 10/12/2026 | 1.4% | 16.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| 10/11/2026 | 1.3% | 16.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% |
| 10/10/2026 | 5.5% | 33.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| 09/20/2026 | 6.7% | 36.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 1.7% |
| 09/19/2026 | 3.2% | 20.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% |
| 09/18/2026 | 2.5% | 19.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.6% |
| 09/14/2026 | 2.8% | 21.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% |
| 09/13/2026 | 2.7% | 21.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| 09/12/2026 | 3.3% | 22.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% |
| 09/06/2026 | 5.6% | 28.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 3.6% |
| 09/05/2026 | 5.1% | 26.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 3.5% |
| 09/04/2026 | 4.8% | 24.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.1% |
| 08/31/2026 | 1.2% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 13.1% |
| 08/30/2026 | 1.3% | 9.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 14.5% |
| 08/29/2026 | 1.4% | 9.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 14.0% |
| 08/28/2026 | 1.7% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 13.1% |
| 08/24/2026 | 1.6% | 12.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 13.2% |
| 08/23/2026 | 2.4% | 13.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 14.2% |
| 08/22/2026 | 3.4% | 17.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 12.2% |
| 08/21/2026 | 4.8% | 19.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 14.3% |
What the next match is worth
Liverpool's chance of each objective depending on the result against Brighton & Hove Albion
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champions League | 30.9% | 39.7% | 28.9% | 23.0% |
| Champion | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Relegation | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% |
| Europa League | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
