Manchester United
Manchester United sits 13th in the table, with 7 points from 7 matches. The main open race is Champions League: 4.6%. That chance has barely moved over the last 5 updates. Over the season it has ranged between 4.0% and 20.8%. Other objectives with a real chance: Europa League (3.2%), Conference League (4.0%), and Relegation (18.7%). Next match: against Bournemouth, at home, in round 8. A win takes the chance of Relegation to 12.3%; a loss, to 23.4%.
Qualification probabilities
Current situationZone trends
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Show history as a table
| Date | Champion | Champions League | Europa League | Conference League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/19/2026 | 0.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 18.7% |
| 10/18/2026 | 0.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 17.7% |
| 10/17/2026 | 0.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 17.3% |
| 10/12/2026 | 0.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 16.4% |
| 10/11/2026 | 0.2% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 15.2% |
| 10/10/2026 | 0.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 16.5% |
| 09/20/2026 | 0.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 16.5% |
| 09/19/2026 | 0.7% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 17.5% |
| 09/18/2026 | 0.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 14.6% |
| 09/14/2026 | 0.6% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 14.7% |
| 09/13/2026 | 0.6% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 14.7% |
| 09/12/2026 | 2.4% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| 09/06/2026 | 2.8% | 17.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% |
| 09/05/2026 | 3.5% | 20.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% |
| 09/04/2026 | 3.6% | 19.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% |
| 08/31/2026 | 3.5% | 20.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| 08/30/2026 | 4.1% | 20.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| 08/29/2026 | 0.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 23.2% |
| 08/28/2026 | 0.6% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 25.2% |
| 08/24/2026 | 0.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 27.1% |
| 08/23/2026 | 0.7% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 27.5% |
| 08/22/2026 | 0.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 29.8% |
| 08/21/2026 | 5.1% | 18.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 14.4% |
What the next match is worth
Manchester United's chance of each objective depending on the result against Bournemouth
| Objective | Now | Win | Draw | Loss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Relegation | 18.7% | 12.3% | 19.9% | 23.4% |
| Champions League | 4.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Conference League | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Europa League | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
Computed from the same 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season: we split the simulations by this match's result and count where the team finished in each case.
