Trend — Europa League
Europa League probability over time
Chelsea leads the race for Europa League, at 12.5%. 19 teams still in contention have a 1% chance or more. Biggest riser over the last 5 updates: Chelsea (+4.4 pp). Biggest faller: Newcastle (−4.5 pp).
Recent movement
| Team | Now | 5 updates ago | Change (pp) | Peak |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 12.5% | 8.1% | +4.4 | 12.5% |
| Liverpool | 11.5% | 9.9% | +1.6 | 11.9% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | 8.4% | 9.3% | −0.9 | 9.3% |
| Arsenal | 7.7% | 8.8% | −1.1 | 9.5% |
| Brentford | 6.8% | 8.2% | −1.4 | 9.2% |
| Aston Villa | 6.6% | 2.2% | +4.4 | 7.0% |
| Leeds United | 6.5% | 6.2% | +0.3 | 9.6% |
| Everton | 6.1% | 8.7% | −2.6 | 8.7% |
| Ipswich Town | 5.0% | 6.8% | −1.8 | 8.0% |
| Hull City | 3.6% | 6.0% | −2.4 | 8.8% |
| Manchester City | 3.5% | 5.8% | −2.3 | 8.3% |
| Bournemouth | 3.4% | 0.6% | +2.8 | 5.0% |
| Manchester United | 3.2% | 3.0% | +0.3 | 6.8% |
| Crystal Palace | 3.1% | 2.3% | +0.8 | 6.4% |
| Tottenham | 2.9% | 0.7% | +2.1 | 5.0% |
| Newcastle | 2.8% | 7.4% | −4.5 | 7.8% |
| Coventry City | 2.6% | 2.0% | +0.6 | 5.9% |
| Fulham | 2.4% | 0.4% | +2.0 | 5.5% |
| Nottingham | 1.1% | 3.1% | −2.0 | 6.7% |
| Sunderland | 0.4% | 0.7% | −0.3 | 6.5% |
Europa League: the last team in should finish with about 59 points (56 to 62 in 80% of simulations). That spot is held today by Liverpool, 5th, with 12.
Current ranking
1
Chelsea12.5%2
Liverpool11.5%3
Brighton & Hove Albion8.4%4
Arsenal7.7%5
Brentford6.8%6
Aston Villa6.6%7
Leeds United6.5%8
Everton6.1%9
Ipswich Town5.0%10
Hull City3.6%11
Manchester City3.5%12
Bournemouth3.4%13
Manchester United3.2%14
Crystal Palace3.1%15
Tottenham2.9%16
Newcastle2.8%17
Coventry City2.6%18
Fulham2.4%19
Nottingham1.1%20
Sunderland0.4%
Chelsea12.5%2Liverpool11.5%3Brighton & Hove Albion8.4%4Arsenal7.7%5Brentford6.8%6Aston Villa6.6%7Leeds United6.5%8Everton6.1%9Ipswich Town5.0%10Hull City3.6%11Manchester City3.5%12Bournemouth3.4%13Manchester United3.2%14Crystal Palace3.1%15Tottenham2.9%16Newcastle2.8%17Coventry City2.6%18Fulham2.4%19Nottingham1.1%20Sunderland0.4%Trend
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